Baylor Bears

Baylor football beat the spread twice in 2025, a 2-10 record no FBS team fell below. At home the Bears were 1-6 against the line.

Two covers in 12

Baylor finished the 2025 regular season 5-7 and 2-10 against the spread, 16.7%. No FBS team covered less often; one other matched it. The two covers were a 48-45 win at SMU as 2.5-point underdogs and a 30-3 win over UCF as 3.5-point favorites.

Wins that missed

Three more wins fell short of the number: 42-7 over Samford at -52.5, 45-27 at Oklahoma State at -21.5, and 35-34 over Kansas State at -4.5. At home the Bears went 3-4 and 1-6 against the spread; only two FBS sides covered a smaller share of home games than the Bears.

As underdogs

Five games, one win and one cover, both the SMU game. The four losses: 42-36 at TCU (+3.5), 41-20 at Cincinnati (+3.5), 55-28 against Utah (+9.5) and 41-17 at Arizona (+6.5).

The moneyline

Ten of the 12 had a price; Samford and Houston did not. One unit on Baylor in each finished 3.47 units down. The SMU win at +130 was the only underdog payout, and two favored losses came early: 38-24 to Auburn at -110 in the opener and 27-24 to Arizona State at -125.

The total

Baylor’s totals split evenly, six over and six under, with the Bears scoring 31.08 a game and allowing 32.58.

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