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College Basketball

St. Thomas Tommies

College Basketball

The Tommies won 24 of 33 in 2025-26, yet a unit staked blind across the 30 games with a price lost 2.82, and no calendar month finished in profit. Two of the nine defeats came against North Dakota at -850, each by one point.

A winning record, a losing moneyline

St. Thomas was favored in 25 of its 30 priced games and won 20. Those 25 favorite moneylines returned 0.23 units, a 0.9% return: the 20 wins paid 5.23 between them and the five losses took 5.0. By month the moneyline read -1.18 in November, -0.05 in December, -0.87 in January, -0.16 in February and -0.56 in March.

One unit on the Tommies to win, every game0-2-1-2.82 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 30 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The five favorite losses

Three came at -800 or shorter: 80-88 to Cal State Fullerton at the Portland Invitational on 22 November (-800), then 80-81 at home on 29 January and 66-67 on neutral ground in the conference semifinal, both to North Dakota at -850. The other two were on the road in February, at Omaha (-205) and at Denver (-175).

North Dakota and South Dakota State

Against North Dakota: 1-2, one cover in three, 1.83 units lost; the win was 91-80 away on 15 January at -575. Against South Dakota State: 3-0, two covers, 1.73 units won, including 77-62 away at -105 on 4 February and 80-67 in the Summit League quarterfinal.

The Tommies against the teams they played mostNorth Dakota Fighting Hawks1-2, covered 1South Dakota State Jackrabbits3-0, covered 2Denver Pioneers1-1, covered 0Kansas City Roos2-0, covered 2North Dakota State Bison1-1, covered 1Omaha Mavericks1-1, covered 1Oral Roberts Golden Eagles2-0, covered 2South Dakota Coyotes2-0, covered 1
2025-26 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Against the spread

Fifteen covers, 15 misses. Laying points: 14 of 25, 56%. Getting points: one of five, 20%, a rate that four programs in the country fell beneath and one shared. At home St. Thomas went 14-1 straight up and covered six of 12 priced games.

The Tommies at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (15)won 14 (93.3%)covered 6 of 12 (50.0%)Away (14)won 8 (57.1%)covered 8 of 14 (57.1%)Favorite (25)won 20 (80.0%)covered 14 of 25 (56.0%)Underdog (5)won 1 (20.0%)covered 1 of 5 (20.0%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Points and the total

The Tommies scored 82.67 points a game; 42 Division I teams scored more. Totals split 16 overs and 14 unders: no lean.

The season ended in the NIT first round, 52-67 at Seattle U on 17 March.

Questions and answers

Did backing St. Thomas on the moneyline pay in 2025-26?

No: 2.82 units lost over 30 priced games, and every month from November to March closed below zero.

How did St. Thomas cover as an underdog?

Once in five games, a 20% rate; just four sides in Division I posted a worse one.

How did St. Thomas fare against North Dakota?

1-2 straight up and one cover in three; both losses were by a point at -850.

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