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College Basketball

North Florida Ospreys

College Basketball

The Ospreys were the underdog in all 30 games that carried a spread in 2025-26 and covered 18 of them, while winning only seven games all season. Our North Florida predictions are above; the numbers are below.

Thirty spreads, all of them points received

North Florida went 7-25. Not once was it favored on the spread, and only one Division I team was an underdog more often. Getting points, it covered 18 times in 30; 38 teams covered a higher share overall, and five matched it.

The Ospreys 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-06 at Florida Gators 64-1042025-11-12 at Tennessee Volunteers 66-992025-11-15 v New College Mighty Banyans 122-672025-11-19 at Wofford Terriers 78-862025-11-22 v Southern Miss Golden Eagles 83-922025-11-23 v Prairie View A&M Panthers 82-852025-11-29 v Trinity College of Jacksonville Eagles 111-672025-12-02 v SIU Edwardsville Cougars 63-722025-12-07 at Gonzaga Bulldogs 58-1092025-12-13 at Dayton Flyers 61-842025-12-18 at Charleston Southern Buccaneers 90-1132025-12-21 at Miami Hurricanes 67-1052025-12-28 v Columbia Lions 82-902026-01-01 at Austin Peay Governors 83-1022026-01-03 at Lipscomb Bisons 74-822026-01-08 v West Georgia Wolves 73-852026-01-10 v Queens University Royals 82-892026-01-15 at North Alabama Lions 105-912026-01-17 at Central Arkansas Bears 69-982026-01-22 v Eastern Kentucky Colonels 87-852026-01-24 v Bellarmine Knights 117-1142026-01-29 v Stetson Hatters 77-842026-01-31 v Lipscomb Bisons 94-1002026-02-05 at West Georgia Wolves 81-732026-02-07 at Queens University Royals 72-912026-02-11 at Florida Gulf Coast Eagles 81-902026-02-14 at Jacksonville Dolphins 56-632026-02-19 v Austin Peay Governors 76-772026-02-21 at Stetson Hatters 71-762026-02-26 v Florida Gulf Coast Eagles 76-702026-02-28 v Jacksonville Dolphins 61-852026-03-04 v West Georgia Wolves 85-93Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
7-25 in 32 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

November set the pattern: five games with a line, five covers, two of them against spreads above 40, 64-104 at Florida getting 43.5 and 66-99 at Tennessee getting 41.5. The biggest number not covered was 42.5 at Gonzaga, lost 58-109.

Points allowed

North Florida gave up 88.16 points a game; only one team allowed more. It also scored 79.59, a figure 91 teams beat. Sixteen priced totals went over and 14 under.

The Ospreys at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (13)won 5 (38.5%)covered 7 of 11 (63.6%)Away (16)won 2 (12.5%)covered 9 of 16 (56.2%)Underdog (30)won 5 (16.7%)covered 18 of 30 (60.0%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

At home the Ospreys covered 7 of 11; away, 9 of 16.

North Florida on the moneyline

Only 24 games carried a moneyline; the big spreads did not. A unit on each lost 5.99. January was the one month in profit, 1.36 units, from three wins as underdogs: 105-91 at North Alabama at +390, 87-85 over Eastern Kentucky at +310 and 117-114 over Bellarmine at +136.

One unit on the Ospreys to win, every game0-8-6-4-2-5.99 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 24 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

ASUN opponents

Stetson beat North Florida twice by seven or fewer, and the Ospreys covered neither time. Lipscomb also won twice, but North Florida covered both. West Georgia, met three times, ended the season 93-85 in the ASUN first round.

Questions and answers

Is North Florida ever a favorite?

Not on the spread in 2025-26: it was the underdog in all 30 games that had one.

How did North Florida do against the spread?

It covered 18 of 30, 60%, including all five lined games in November.

Do North Florida games score a lot?

The Ospreys allowed 88.16 points a game, second-most in Division I, and scored 79.59; 16 of 30 priced totals went over.

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