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Unlv Rebels

College Basketball

Backing the Rebels as underdogs in 2025-26 made 18.5 units over 18 games, the seventh-best underdog return in Division I. Backing them as favorites lost 4.17, and only 21 teams lost more that way.

Upside down

UNLV was a better bet the less it was expected to win. As underdogs the Rebels went 8-10 and made 18.5 units; six Division I sides earned more as the outsider. Laying points, the Rebels went 8-6 and lost 4.17. The spread treated both roles the same, 9 covers in 18 as underdogs and 7 in 14 as favorites, so the gap was entirely in who won the game.

The Rebels at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (16)won 10 (62.5%)covered 8 of 15 (53.3%)Away (12)won 6 (50.0%)covered 7 of 12 (58.3%)Favorite (14)won 8 (57.1%)covered 7 of 14 (50.0%)Underdog (18)won 8 (44.4%)covered 9 of 18 (50.0%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The road prices

Three road wins made most of it: 86-76 at Utah State at +950 on 20 January, 86-83 at Boise State at +490 and 92-78 at Memphis at +425. One unit on the 12 priced road games returned 16.6 units, ninth in the country. The full season, 32 priced games, finished 14.33 up.

One unit on the Rebels to win, every game0+5+10+15+14.33 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 32 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The home favorites that lost

The other side is the home losses at short prices: 86-81 to UT Martin at -2500 on 4 November, 63-60 to Tennessee State at -900 and 102-93 to Montana at -700. November alone went 3-5, with only 0.3 units lost thanks to a +425 win in the middle of it, and those three home defeats were three of UNLV’s six as a favorite.

Utah State

Utah State was met three times. UNLV won two, covered two, and made 11.35 units in the series, before Utah State won the Mountain West quarterfinal.

The Rebels against the teams they played mostUtah State Aggies2-1, covered 2Air Force Falcons2-0, covered 2Boise State Broncos2-0, covered 2Colorado State Rams0-2, covered 0Fresno State Bulldogs1-1, covered 1Grand Canyon Lopes1-1, covered 1Nevada Wolf Pack1-1, covered 1San Diego State Aztecs0-2, covered 1
2025-26 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Overs

Twenty overs and 12 unders. That 62.5% over rate left UNLV 25th nationally, sharing the spot with two others. UNLV scored 79.39 a game and allowed 78.58.

The Rebels 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-04 v UT Martin Skyhawks 81-862025-11-08 v Chattanooga Mocs 101-692025-11-11 v Montana Grizzlies 93-1022025-11-16 at Memphis Tigers 92-782025-11-20 v Saint Joseph's Hawks 99-852025-11-24 v Maryland Terrapins 67-742025-11-25 v Alabama Crimson Tide 76-1152025-11-27 v Rutgers Scarlet Knights 65-802025-12-07 at Stanford Cardinal 75-742025-12-13 v Tennessee State Tigers 60-632025-12-20 v Fresno State Bulldogs 84-722025-12-29 v La Sierra Golden Eagles 89-472026-01-03 v Air Force Falcons 67-392026-01-06 at Wyoming Cowboys 66-982026-01-09 at Colorado State Rams 62-702026-01-13 v Boise State Broncos 89-852026-01-17 at San José State Spartans 76-622026-01-20 at Utah State Aggies 86-762026-01-24 v San Diego State Aztecs 71-822026-01-27 v New Mexico Lobos 61-892026-01-30 at Nevada Wolf Pack 76-892026-02-03 at Fresno State Bulldogs 96-982026-02-07 v Grand Canyon Lopes 80-782026-02-10 v San José State Spartans 82-752026-02-13 at Boise State Broncos 86-832026-02-18 v Colorado State Rams 86-912026-02-21 at Air Force Falcons 91-662026-02-25 at Grand Canyon Lopes 67-802026-02-28 v Nevada Wolf Pack 85-832026-03-03 v Utah State Aggies 92-652026-03-06 at San Diego State Aztecs 86-892026-03-11 v Wyoming Cowboys 73-702026-03-12 v Utah State Aggies 60-80Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
17-16 in 33 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The spread itself ran dead even, 16 covers and 16 misses. The NIT added a 75-72 win over UC Irvine and a 77-66 loss to Tulsa.

Questions and answers

Should you back UNLV when it gets points?

On the 2025-26 moneyline the Rebels’ 18 underdog games made 18.5 units, seventh-best in Division I.

What was UNLV’s best win for bettors?

86-76 at Utah State on 20 January 2026, at +950.

Do UNLV games go over?

Twenty of 32 did in 2025-26.

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