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College Basketball

Bradley Braves

College Basketball

The Braves covered 3 of 11 road games in 2025-26, a road cover rate that only nine Division I teams undercut. At home they won 14 of 16, and one of the two defeats came at -3000.

The road

Bradley went 4-7 in true road games, covered three, and the 11 road moneylines lost 4.29 units. Losses at Belmont (+154), Murray State (+200), Illinois State (62-88 at +205), Northern Iowa and UIC all failed to cover, and so did a 72-79 defeat at Valparaiso at -155. The three road covers were wins at Indiana State, Drake and Southern Illinois (+124).

The Braves at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (16)won 14 (87.5%)covered 7 of 15 (46.7%)Away (11)won 4 (36.4%)covered 3 of 11 (27.3%)Favorite (21)won 17 (81.0%)covered 10 of 21 (47.6%)Underdog (11)won 3 (27.3%)covered 4 of 11 (36.4%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Home

At home the Braves went 14-2 and the 15 priced home moneylines made 2.53 units, but they covered only 7 of 15 there. Wins at -11.5 over Evansville and -21.5 over UMass Lowell fell short of the number. One of the two home losses was the shortest price any Bradley loss carried all season: 67-78 to UT Martin at -3000 on 12 November. The other was 70-85 to UIC at -305.

One unit on the Braves to win, every game0-2-1-1.35 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 31 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Favorite and underdog

As favorites, 21 times: 17-4, ten covers, and 2.56 units on the 20 priced; 34 teams made more. As underdogs: 3-8, four covers, 3.91 units lost on 11 priced games.

The Braves 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-03 v St. Bonaventure Bonnies 63-692025-11-08 v Central Michigan Chippewas 85-542025-11-12 v UT Martin Skyhawks 67-782025-11-15 at San Francisco Dons 64-752025-11-19 v UMass Lowell River Hawks 87-772025-11-24 v Princeton Tigers 88-642025-11-25 v UC San Diego Tritons 77-872025-11-26 v Liberty Flames 74-642025-12-02 v Washington State Cougars 64-602025-12-06 v Northern Illinois Huskies 84-552025-12-14 v North Central College Cardinals 86-532025-12-18 at Indiana State Sycamores 108-992025-12-21 v Southern Illinois Salukis 73-692025-12-29 v Evansville Purple Aces 76-682026-01-01 at Belmont Bruins 78-882026-01-04 at Murray State Racers 66-862026-01-07 v Drake Bulldogs 93-662026-01-10 v Northern Iowa Panthers 75-692026-01-13 at Evansville Purple Aces 94-902026-01-17 at Illinois State Redbirds 62-882026-01-21 v Indiana State Sycamores 75-682026-01-24 v UIC Flames 70-852026-01-31 at Drake Bulldogs 87-732026-02-03 v Valparaiso Beacons 72-652026-02-06 at Northern Iowa Panthers 49-612026-02-09 v Belmont Bruins 95-842026-02-15 at Southern Illinois Salukis 70-602026-02-18 at Valparaiso Beacons 72-792026-02-21 v Illinois State Redbirds 74-602026-02-24 at UIC Flames 86-932026-03-01 v Murray State Racers 87-782026-03-06 v Valparaiso Beacons 90-842026-03-07 v Northern Iowa Panthers 69-73Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
21-12 in 33 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The opponents

UIC beat Bradley twice, no covers. Northern Iowa took two of the three meetings, ending Bradley’s MVC tournament in the semifinal, 73-69, though that one covered at +4.5. Valparaiso was met three times, two Bradley wins and one cover, including the MVC quarterfinal 90-84.

Neutral floors and after

On neutral courts the Braves went 3-3, the best of it 74-64 over Liberty at +180 in November. The season then ended in the NIT first round, 66-80 at home to Dayton.

The total

Eighteen overs, 14 unders: 56.3% over, with 72 teams over more often.

Questions and answers

Do the Braves cover the spread on the road?

Rarely in 2025-26: 3 of 11 road games, with only nine Division I teams lower.

How did Bradley do at home?

Fourteen wins in 16, 2.53 units on the priced moneylines, but 7 covers in 15.

What was Bradley’s worst loss for bettors?

67-78 at home to UT Martin as a -3000 favorite on 12 November.

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