Indiana Hoosiers

The Hoosiers covered 3 of 10 spreads as underdogs in 2025-26, a rate only 13 Division I teams fell below. A 7-0 November gave way to 3-7 from February.

Getting points

Indiana was an underdog ten times, won two and covered three, 30%. Thirteen teams in Division I covered less often in that role and three matched it. The two wins were the 72-67 home upset of Purdue at +180 and a 98-97 win at UCLA at +145. One unit on each of the ten lost 4.75.

Laying points

Favored 22 times, the Hoosiers won 16 and covered half. The prices did not pay: backing them in the 21 priced favorite games lost 3.19 units, and 52 Division I teams did worse in that spot. Two of the six losses were to Northwestern: 72-68 at home at -470 on 24 February and 74-61 in the Big Ten tournament at -278.

How the season ran

November: 7-0, five covers in seven, the longest win streak of the season. From February on: 3-7 straight up, two covers in ten. December, February and March each lost money on the moneyline: 2.91, 3.28 and 2.68 units. Overall Indiana finished 18-14 and covered 14 of 32, 43.8%.

At home: 14-4, 9 covers in 18. Away: 3-8, 4 covers in 11, and the 11 road moneylines lost 5.99.

Big Ten opponents

Michigan State won both meetings, 81-60 and 77-64, and covered both. Northwestern did the same. Minnesota split two: a 73-64 Indiana loss in December at -500, then a 77-47 Indiana win in March.

The total

Eighteen unders in 31 games with a total, 58.1%. Sixty-seven Division I teams beat that under rate and ten matched the Hoosiers exactly: a mild lean, nothing stronger. From February the split was 6 unders to 4 overs.

Questions and answers