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Northwestern St Demons

College Basketball

The Demons lost five of eight games in January 2026 and covered the spread in seven of the eight; four of those defeats came by exactly two points. At home they covered 8 of 12 all season.

January by two points

Northwestern State went 10-22, underdogs in 26 games. January is the month to study. They lost 74-72 at Nicholls getting 8.5, 76-74 at Incarnate Word getting 8.5, 82-80 at Houston Christian getting 2.5 and 69-67 at Stephen F. Austin getting 14.5. Between them came home wins by a point over Texas A&M-Corpus Christi, 79-78 at +170, and UT Rio Grande Valley, 64-63 at +130. January: 3-5 straight up, 7-1 against the spread.

The Demons 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-03 at Texas A&M Aggies 68-982025-11-06 at North Texas Mean Green 53-802025-11-11 at North Alabama Lions 83-872025-11-14 v Ecclesia Royals 95-752025-11-18 at San Francisco Dons 64-842025-11-21 at Grand Canyon Lopes 72-852025-11-29 v Southern Jaguars 73-752025-12-05 at McNeese Cowboys 54-922025-12-07 at SE Louisiana Lions 76-682025-12-13 at California Golden Bears 70-792025-12-20 v Southern New Orleans Knights 108-552025-12-29 v Lamar Cardinals 61-762025-12-31 v Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 64-742026-01-03 v LSU New Orleans Privateers 74-682026-01-05 at Nicholls Colonels 72-742026-01-10 v Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders 79-782026-01-12 v UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros 64-632026-01-17 at Incarnate Word Cardinals 74-762026-01-19 at Houston Christian Huskies 80-822026-01-27 at Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 67-692026-01-31 at LSU New Orleans Privateers 64-752026-02-02 v Nicholls Colonels 58-612026-02-04 v East Texas A&M Lions 68-742026-02-07 at East Texas A&M Lions 48-522026-02-09 at Lamar Cardinals 70-682026-02-14 v SE Louisiana Lions 69-662026-02-16 v McNeese Cowboys 64-752026-02-21 v Houston Christian Huskies 71-532026-02-23 v Incarnate Word Cardinals 54-492026-02-28 at Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders 59-712026-03-02 at UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros 62-742026-03-08 v Nicholls Colonels 47-61Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
10-22 in 32 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Home and road

At home the Demons covered 8 of 12, 66.7%; 30 teams covered more often at home, 11 matched. The home moneyline made 0.54 over 12. On the road it was different: 2-15 straight up and 9.6 units lost over 17 priced games, with only 20 teams losing more away.

The Demons at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (14)won 8 (57.1%)covered 8 of 12 (66.7%)Away (17)won 2 (11.8%)covered 9 of 17 (52.9%)Favorite (4)won 3 (75.0%)covered 3 of 4 (75.0%)Underdog (26)won 5 (19.2%)covered 14 of 26 (53.8%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The moneyline

Across 30 priced games a level stake lost 10.06. As underdogs they won five of 26 and lost 11.46; only 24 teams lost more that way. Laying points was rare and worked: four games as favorites, three wins and three covers, the last two of them at home in late February, 71-53 over Houston Christian and 54-49 over Incarnate Word.

One unit on the Demons to win, every game0-10-8-6-4-2-10.06 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 30 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Southland opponents

Nicholls beat them three times, by two, by three, and 61-47 in the Southland tournament first round. SE Louisiana lost both meetings, 3.59 units to the Demons, the first 76-68 on the road at +270. East Texas A&M won both, by six and by four. Lamar split, the Demons’ win 70-68 there at +270.

The total

Fifteen overs, 15 unders: an even split, with 68.28 scored and 72.41 allowed a game. The last five lined games all went under.

Questions and answers

How did Northwestern State cover in January 2026?

Seven times in eight, while going 3-5, four of the losses by two points.

Were the Demons a better spread bet at home?

Yes: 8 covers in 12 at home in 2025-26, against 9 in 17 away.

How did Northwestern State do against Nicholls in 2025-26?

Three losses, the last 61-47 in the Southland tournament.

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