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Southern Jaguars

College Basketball

As favorites in 2025-26 the Jaguars covered only 5 of 19 spreads; thirty-two teams nationally covered a smaller share when laying points. Southern’s games also went over the total 20 times in 31.

Favored and short

Southern went 11-8 when favored, losing 2.93 units on the moneyline. Three home defeats came at long prices: Florida A&M 82-71 at -470, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 75-74 at -440 and Prairie View A&M 89-85 at -340. Wins rarely cleared the number either: 96-91 at Jackson State at -5.5, 69-68 over Alabama State at -6.5, and 87-82 at Prairie View at -5.5 all missed.

The Jaguars at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (12)won 8 (66.7%)covered 3 of 9 (33.3%)Away (19)won 7 (36.8%)covered 8 of 19 (42.1%)Favorite (19)won 11 (57.9%)covered 5 of 19 (26.3%)Underdog (12)won 3 (25.0%)covered 7 of 12 (58.3%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Over the season they covered 12 of 31, and only 27 programs covered less often. At home it was 3 of 9, and on the road 8 of 19.

The road start

Before January the Jaguars played ten road games against Arkansas, Marquette, Washington, Texas, Baylor, Illinois and others, and won one of them. November and December cost 8.44 units, more than the season’s whole moneyline loss of 8.39. Away from home Southern finished 7-12 and 6.03 units down. As underdogs they won three of twelve: at Bethune-Cookman at +154, at Grambling at +105 and at Alabama State on a +1.5 line.

One unit on the Jaguars to win, every game0-10-8-6-4-2-8.39 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 31 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The over

Twenty overs and 11 unders; only sixteen programs went over more often, while two tied. The highest total of the season, 169.5 at Baylor, went over in a 111-67 defeat. Southern scored 79.62 a game and allowed 77.94.

The Jaguars 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-03 at Arkansas Razorbacks 77-1092025-11-05 at Marquette Golden Eagles 82-1002025-11-10 v Ecclesia Royals 115-512025-11-15 v Champion Christian Tigers 129-642025-11-18 at Washington Huskies 93-992025-11-21 at San José State Spartans 66-802025-11-29 at Northwestern State Demons 75-732025-12-01 v Louisiana Christian Wildcats 101-482025-12-08 at Texas Longhorns 69-952025-12-10 at Texas State Bobcats 83-862025-12-16 at California Baptist Lancers 67-752025-12-21 at Baylor Bears 67-1112025-12-29 at Illinois Fighting Illini 55-902026-01-03 v Texas Southern Tigers 84-732026-01-05 v Prairie View A&M Panthers 85-892026-01-10 at Florida A&M Rattlers 59-672026-01-12 at Bethune-Cookman Wildcats 77-732026-01-17 at Grambling Tigers 71-532026-01-24 v Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions 74-752026-01-28 v Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils 80-692026-01-31 at Alcorn State Braves 73-782026-02-02 at Jackson State Tigers 96-912026-02-07 v Alabama A&M Bulldogs 81-682026-02-09 v Alabama State Hornets 69-682026-02-14 at Prairie View A&M Panthers 87-822026-02-16 at Texas Southern Tigers 73-742026-02-21 v Grambling Tigers 87-732026-02-26 v Florida A&M Rattlers 71-822026-02-28 v Bethune-Cookman Wildcats 79-822026-03-03 at Alabama State Hornets 71-642026-03-05 at Alabama A&M Bulldogs 88-852026-03-12 v Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions 84-812026-03-13 v Florida A&M Rattlers 73-702026-03-14 v Prairie View A&M Panthers 66-72Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
17-17 in 34 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Opponents and March

March was the one profitable month, 4-1 and 2.08 units, with SWAC tournament wins over Arkansas-Pine Bluff and Florida A&M. The final went to Prairie View A&M, 72-66, and Prairie View won two of three meetings while Southern covered none of them. Grambling and Alabama A&M lost twice each and Southern covered all four.

Questions and answers

What is Southern’s record against the spread when favored?

In 2025-26, 5 covers in 19 games as favorites.

Do Southern games go over the total?

20 of 31 did in 2025-26.

How did Southern do against Prairie View A&M?

1-2 in 2025-26, the last loss the SWAC tournament final, and no covers in three.

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