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College Basketball

East Tennessee St Buccaneers

College Basketball

The Buccaneers were favored 27 times in 2025-26 and won 19, but covered only 12 of those spreads, and the favorite moneylines lost 2.85 units. A 23-11 season finished 14-18 against the spread.

Twenty-seven times the favorite

East Tennessee State spent most of 2025-26 giving points. In those 27 games the Bucs won 19 and covered 12, and backing them to win in every one lost 2.85 units; 296 of 361 Division I teams did better on their favorite moneylines. Eight favorite defeats did the damage, the shortest priced at home: 81-75 to Jacksonville State at -550, 90-88 to Western Carolina at -535 and 72-69 to Wofford at -325.

The Buccaneers at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (17)won 13 (76.5%)covered 8 of 15 (53.3%)Away (14)won 8 (57.1%)covered 6 of 14 (42.9%)Favorite (27)won 19 (70.4%)covered 12 of 27 (44.4%)Underdog (5)won 2 (40.0%)covered 2 of 5 (40.0%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Month by month

November was the good start, 6-1 with five covers in six and 0.63 units made. December turned it, 3-4 and 3.55 units lost. January then went 6-2 straight up but only two covers in eight, and March closed with three spread misses in three games. Across the year a unit on all 32 priced games lost 3.85.

The Buccaneers 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-04 v Converse Valkyries 102-502025-11-08 at Presbyterian Blue Hose 64-682025-11-12 v Northern Kentucky Norse 75-632025-11-15 at North Alabama Lions 78-742025-11-21 v Morehead State Eagles 77-622025-11-23 v UL Monroe Warhawks 97-552025-11-29 v Central Arkansas Bears 80-572025-12-02 at Dayton Flyers 71-882025-12-05 v South Alabama Jaguars 91-652025-12-07 v Tusculum Pioneers 78-622025-12-12 at Austin Peay Governors 75-762025-12-16 at North Carolina Tar Heels 58-772025-12-20 v Jacksonville State Gamecocks 75-812025-12-30 at The Citadel Bulldogs 74-492026-01-03 v Mercer Bears 77-712026-01-07 v VMI Keydets 81-672026-01-10 v UNC Greensboro Spartans 86-602026-01-14 at Western Carolina Catamounts 68-722026-01-17 at Samford Bulldogs 76-752026-01-21 at Chattanooga Mocs 67-662026-01-23 v The Citadel Bulldogs 84-552026-01-29 v Western Carolina Catamounts 88-902026-02-01 at Wofford Terriers 86-722026-02-04 v Furman Paladins 75-712026-02-07 at VMI Keydets 87-702026-02-11 v Chattanooga Mocs 73-612026-02-14 v Samford Bulldogs 72-822026-02-18 at Furman Paladins 78-692026-02-21 at UNC Greensboro Spartans 87-752026-02-25 v Wofford Terriers 69-722026-02-28 at Mercer Bears 76-822026-03-07 v The Citadel Bulldogs 83-762026-03-08 v Western Carolina Catamounts 69-672026-03-09 v Furman Paladins 61-76Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
23-11 in 34 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
One unit on the Buccaneers to win, every game0-3-2-1-3.85 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 32 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Home and road

At home the Bucs went 13-4 and covered 8 of 15. On the road they went 8-6 and covered 6 of 14, and the road moneyline lost 1.59 against 1.94 at home. They allowed 69.29 points a game, a figure only 57 Division I teams improved on.

Southern Conference opponents

Western Carolina is the opponent to note: three meetings, two Western Carolina wins, and no ETSU cover. Furman lost twice to the Bucs before winning the SoCon tournament final. The Citadel lost all three meetings, though ETSU covered only two of them.

The Buccaneers against the teams they played mostFurman Paladins2-1, covered 1The Citadel Bulldogs3-0, covered 2Western Carolina Catamounts1-2, covered 0Chattanooga Mocs2-0, covered 1Mercer Bears1-1, covered 0Samford Bulldogs1-1, covered 0UNC Greensboro Spartans2-0, covered 2VMI Keydets2-0, covered 1
2025-26 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Underdog, rarely

ETSU was an underdog five times, won two at even money, 78-74 at North Alabama and 78-69 at Furman, and covered two.

The total was close to even across the season: 17 overs, 15 unders.

Questions and answers

How did ETSU do as a favorite in 2025-26?

The Bucs won 19 of 27 as favorites but covered just 12, and those moneylines ran 2.85 units into the red.

How did ETSU finish against the spread?

Fourteen covers in 32 lined games, and none in three March games.

What was ETSU’s record against Western Carolina?

One win, two defeats, and the Catamounts covered all three.

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