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Baylor Bears

College Basketball

The Bears were 10-2 when 2025 ended and 6-14 after it, covering 7 of 20 spreads from January on. As underdogs they won twice in 14 games.

Before and after New Year

Baylor went 5-1 in November and 5-1 in December. From 3 January the record was 6-14, the spread was covered 7 times in 20, and one unit on the Bears to win each priced game lost 10.23. January alone was 2-7 with two covers, and the only win in its first five games came at Oklahoma State, 94-79.

The Bears 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-03 v UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros 96-812025-11-09 v Washington Huskies 78-692025-11-14 v Tarleton State Texans 94-812025-11-24 v Creighton Bluejays 81-742025-11-25 v St. John's Red Storm 81-962025-11-26 v San Diego State Aztecs 91-812025-12-02 v Sacramento State Hornets 110-882025-12-06 at Memphis Tigers 71-782025-12-10 v Norfolk State Spartans 97-672025-12-19 v Alcorn State Braves 113-562025-12-21 v Southern Jaguars 111-672025-12-29 v Arlington Baptist Patriots 124-612026-01-03 at TCU Horned Frogs 63-692026-01-07 v Iowa State Cyclones 60-702026-01-10 v Houston Cougars 55-772026-01-13 at Oklahoma State Cowboys 94-792026-01-16 at Kansas Jayhawks 62-802026-01-20 v Texas Tech Red Raiders 73-922026-01-24 v TCU Horned Frogs 90-972026-01-28 at Cincinnati Bearcats 57-672026-01-31 at West Virginia Mountaineers 63-532026-02-04 v Colorado Buffaloes 86-672026-02-07 at Iowa State Cyclones 69-722026-02-10 v BYU Cougars 94-992026-02-14 v Louisville Cardinals 71-822026-02-17 at Kansas State Wildcats 74-902026-02-21 v Arizona State Sun Devils 73-682026-02-24 v Arizona Wildcats 80-872026-02-28 at UCF Knights 87-862026-03-04 at Houston Cougars 64-772026-03-07 v Utah Utes 101-752026-03-10 v Arizona State Sun Devils 79-83Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
16-16 in 32 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

All six home defeats came in that second half, between 7 January and 24 February: Iowa State, Houston, Texas Tech, TCU, BYU and Arizona. Through December they had been unbeaten at home.

The underdog numbers

Baylor were underdogs 14 times. They won at West Virginia 63-53 at +130 and at UCF 87-86 at +105, and lost the other 12. They covered 4 of the 14, and of the 362 teams that took points at some point in the season, only ten did worse in that role and one did the same. The moneyline in those games lost 9.65 units.

The Bears at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (17)won 11 (64.7%)covered 7 of 16 (43.8%)Away (10)won 3 (30.0%)covered 4 of 10 (40.0%)Favorite (17)won 13 (76.5%)covered 9 of 17 (52.9%)Underdog (14)won 2 (14.3%)covered 4 of 14 (28.6%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

As favorites they were 13-4 and 9-8 against the spread, and the 16 priced games still lost 0.76, with defeats at -218 at home to TCU and -250 to Arizona State in the Big 12 tournament.

One unit on the Bears to win, every game0-10-8-6-4-2-10.41 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 30 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Three Big 12 teams they did not beat

Houston, Iowa State and TCU each won both meetings, and Baylor covered none of those six; Arizona State split two and took the tournament game. Over the season the Bears covered 13 spreads and missed 18, 41.9%.

The total

Eighteen overs and 13 unders, an over rate of 58.1% with 45 teams above it and two level. Baylor scored 82.56 a game and allowed 77.16.

After the season they beat Minnesota 67-48 in the College Basketball Crown and lost 82-69 to Oklahoma in the semifinal.

Questions and answers

How did Baylor do after December in 2025-26?

6-14 from 3 January, with 7 covers in 20 and 10.23 moneyline units lost.

Was Baylor worth backing when getting points?

Not in 2025-26: 4 covers in 14 underdog games, 2 outright wins, 9.65 units lost.

How often did Baylor cover in 2025-26?

13 times in 31 games with a spread, 41.9%.

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