Monmouth Hawks

The Hawks won more often at home in 2025-26 and covered more often on the road: 5 of 13 home covers against 9 of 15 away. Hofstra won all three meetings, and the third settled the CAA tournament final.

The venue flip

Monmouth went 10-4 at home and 6-9 away. Read the spread and the order turns over. At home they covered 5 of 13, 38.5%; only 66 Division I teams were lower and eight sat level. Away they covered 9 of 15.

Four of the eight home misses were wins, and narrow ones. Laying 9.5 to North Carolina A&T, they won 83-81. Laying 2.5 to Robert Morris, 71-70. Laying 5.5 to Princeton, 63-58. Laying 1.5 to Towson, 72-71. On the road the Hawks won only six times, but four of those wins came as underdogs.

The run into March

From 26 February to 9 March Monmouth won five straight and covered all five, including 65-57 over Drexel and 74-64 over Campbell in the CAA tournament. December had gone the other way: 2-4, one cover in six, 3.38 units down.

Over the season they covered 17 of 33. One unit on the Hawks in every priced game finished 0.1 up across 33. As favorites that bet made 2.18, 45th in Division I; as underdogs it lost 2.08. The best price landed early in January: 62-48 at Towson at +310.

The Hofstra problem

Hofstra met them three times and won all three: 67-64 in January with Monmouth covering at +7.5, 73-57 at Monmouth at +114, and 75-69 in the CAA tournament final at +160. Three units lost on the moneyline.

Drexel won 73-51 in January, then lost twice, Monmouth covering both. Campbell lost two of three and was covered twice. Northeastern and Stony Brook lost both meetings and failed to cover any of the four.

The total

Seventeen unders, 16 overs: no lean either way.

Questions and answers