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College Basketball

Villanova Wildcats

College Basketball

Villanova lost twice in 23 games as a favorite in 2025-26; nine Division I teams returned more on their own favorite prices. When the Wildcats were the underdog, they won three times in nine.

Trust the favorite

Villanova went 24-8, and the line told you which way most of those games would fall: six of the eight losses came with the Wildcats getting points. As favorites the Wildcats were 21-2 and covered 14 of 23. Backing Villanova at those prices made 3.9 units, a short-price return that nine teams beat. Both defeats came on Villanova’s floor or a neutral one: Creighton 76-72 at -225 in January, and Georgetown 78-64 at -325 in the Big East quarterfinal.

One unit on the Wildcats to win, every game0-1+1+2+3+1.52 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 32 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Every game had a price, all 32, and over the full season the moneyline finished 1.52 units up.

Two teams it could not beat

Four of those six underdog losses came against two opponents. St. John’s won 86-79 at Villanova and 89-57 at home, covering both. UConn won 75-67 and 73-63; Villanova covered the first, getting 11.5. Against the rest of the Big East the Wildcats lost only to Creighton and Georgetown, once each.

The Wildcats against the teams they played mostGeorgetown Hoyas2-1, covered 2Butler Bulldogs2-0, covered 1Creighton Bluejays1-1, covered 1DePaul Blue Demons2-0, covered 1Marquette Golden Eagles2-0, covered 0Providence Friars2-0, covered 2Seton Hall Pirates2-0, covered 2St. John's Red Storm0-2, covered 0
2025-26 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The heaviest defeat was at Michigan, 89-61 at +1300 on 9 December. Among the underdog wins: Wisconsin 76-66 at +145 and at Butler 85-67 at +124.

The spread and the total

Against the spread Villanova covered 19 of 32, and 8 of 12 away from home. December was the cleanest month, 6-1 with five covers, including a 90-63 win over Penn in the Big 5 Classic final. Villanova won and covered all three Big 5 games, over La Salle, Temple and Penn, by 15, 18 and 27.

The Wildcats at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (17)won 14 (82.4%)covered 9 of 17 (52.9%)Away (12)won 9 (75.0%)covered 8 of 12 (66.7%)Favorite (23)won 21 (91.3%)covered 14 of 23 (60.9%)Underdog (9)won 3 (33.3%)covered 5 of 9 (55.6%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Nineteen of 32 games went over; only 35 teams had a higher over rate, two an identical one. The NCAA tournament lasted one game, a first-round loss to Utah State.

Questions and answers

How did Villanova do as a favorite in 2025-26?

21-2 straight up, 14 covers in 23, and 3.9 moneyline units.

Which teams beat Villanova twice in 2025-26?

St. John’s and UConn, the only opponents to do it.

Do Villanova games go over?

In 2025-26, 19 of 32 went over the total.

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