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College Basketball

San Francisco Dons

College Basketball

The Dons were favored in all three meetings with Oregon State in 2025-26 and lost all three. At home they covered 5 of 15 spreads, and 40 Division I teams did worse.

Oregon State

Oregon State beat San Francisco 70-62 on 30 December with the Dons at -205, 90-63 at San Francisco on 12 February at -425, and 78-77 in the West Coast Conference quarterfinal at -180. San Francisco missed the spread all three times, and backing them in the three cost 3 units.

At home

The Dons were 10-6 at home but covered only 5 of 15, a rate 314 teams beat and 10 matched. The 15 priced home games lost 4.43 units; 42 teams lost more at home. Three of the six home defeats came as favorites: North Alabama 65-63 on 3 December at -3200 with the Dons laying 16.5, Loyola Marymount 84-75 at -395, and Oregon State.

The Dons at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (16)won 10 (62.5%)covered 5 of 15 (33.3%)Away (11)won 4 (36.4%)covered 6 of 11 (54.5%)Favorite (19)won 12 (63.2%)covered 8 of 18 (44.4%)Underdog (13)won 4 (30.8%)covered 6 of 13 (46.2%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Away from home the picture was better against the number: 4-7 straight up, 6 covers in 11.

Favorites and underdogs

As favorites San Francisco won 12 of 19 and covered 8 of 18, and the 18 priced games lost 3.42; only 43 Division I teams lost more as favorites. As underdogs they won 4 of 13, among them Mississippi State 65-62 at +160 and Pacific 72-61 away at +145, and lost 3.71.

One unit on the Dons to win, every game0-6-4-2-7.13 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 31 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

January and February

January covered 3 times in 9. February went 2-5 with two covers. Over the 31 priced games the moneyline lost 7.13.

The Dons 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-03 v UC Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 98-532025-11-08 at Memphis Tigers 70-762025-11-12 v Portland State Vikings 80-702025-11-15 v Bradley Braves 75-642025-11-18 v Northwestern State Demons 84-642025-11-22 v Minnesota Golden Gophers 77-652025-11-27 v Colorado Buffaloes 69-792025-11-28 v Nevada Wolf Pack 65-812025-12-03 v North Alabama Lions 63-652025-12-07 v Mississippi State Bulldogs 65-622025-12-13 at Saint Louis Billikens 75-852025-12-17 v Loyola Chicago Ramblers 85-712025-12-21 v Morgan State Bears 94-642025-12-28 at Seattle U Redhawks 67-592025-12-30 at Oregon State Beavers 62-702026-01-02 v San Diego Toreros 74-642026-01-04 v Portland Pilots 73-682026-01-08 at Loyola Marymount Lions 82-842026-01-10 at Pepperdine Waves 80-602026-01-13 v Saint Mary's Gaels 68-822026-01-18 v Washington State Cougars 85-802026-01-24 at Gonzaga Bulldogs 66-682026-01-28 at Santa Clara Broncos 73-882026-01-31 v Pacific Tigers 87-822026-02-04 v Loyola Marymount Lions 75-842026-02-07 at Saint Mary's Gaels 54-792026-02-12 v Oregon State Beavers 63-902026-02-15 at San Diego Toreros 92-792026-02-18 v Gonzaga Bulldogs 59-802026-02-21 v Santa Clara Broncos 73-942026-02-28 at Pacific Tigers 72-612026-03-07 v Portland Pilots 82-652026-03-08 v Oregon State Beavers 77-78Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
17-16 in 33 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The West Coast Conference

Gonzaga, Saint Mary’s, Santa Clara and Loyola Marymount each won both meetings. Pacific lost both, and San Francisco covered both.

The total

San Francisco’s totals went 17 over and 15 under. The Dons scored 74.67 a game and allowed 73.15, and their 94-64 home win over Morgan State in December covered a 25.5-point spread.

Questions and answers

How did San Francisco do against Oregon State in 2025-26?

Three defeats in three, all as favorites, no covers.

How reliable were the Dons at covering at home?

Not very in 2025-26: 5 of 15 home spreads, with a 65-63 loss to North Alabama at -3200.

Did backing San Francisco as a favorite pay?

No: 12-7, 8 covers in 18, and 3.42 units lost.

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