football | ncaaf

Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gators Pick & Prediction NOV 28TH 2020

FinishedBen Hill Griffin Stadium Gainesville

OP
57.5
-14.5
CU
58o -111
-24 +102
ML
1150
-1800
Partials
1 2 3 4
0 10 0 0
7 7 17 3
Score
10
34
Recap
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The No. 6-ranked Florida Gators will look to create another winning streak against Southeastern Conference foe Kentucky on Saturday in Gainesville, Fla.

The two SEC East opponents have met 70 times, with the Gators (6-1, 6-1 SEC) holding a 52-18 advantage over the Wildcats (3-5, 3-5).

But it was the teams' meeting two years ago - at Florida, where games usually have been one-sided - that stunned the college football world, as the Wildcats snapped one of the sport's longest streaks.

Kentucky used a 20-point, second-half rally to beat the Gators 27-16 on Sept. 8 that year, winning for the first time since 1986.

In the driver's seat in the SEC East after defeating rival Georgia 44-28 on Nov. 7, Florida has to defeat just two of its last three opponents - Kentucky, at Tennessee (2-5) on Dec. 5, and at home against LSU (3-3) on Dec. 12 - to clinch the division and advance to the SEC Championship Game on Dec. 19.

The Gators appeared to go through the motions for a half at winless Vanderbilt on Saturday before pulling away for a 38-17 victory. They received 383 passing yards and three touchdown passes from standout quarterback Kyle Trask, who leads the nation in TD passes with 28.

Florida coach Dan Mullen said Monday that Trask would get back his top target this weekend - star tight end Kyle Pitts (24 catches, 414 yards, eight TDs).

"He's such a playmaker, he's such a leader," said Mullen, whose squad beat Kentucky 29-21 last year. "The matchup problem he causes defenses is great to have him back with us."

The Wildcats suffered through a soul-searching loss Saturday in Tuscaloosa, falling 63-3 to top-ranked Alabama - the third-worst defeat in school history since 1950.

Three of the top four shellackings suffered by the Wildcats have come in the Sunshine State against the Gators.

With Steve Spurrier at the helm, Florida drubbed the Wildcats in 1994 and 1996 - 73-7 and 65-0, respectively - and Urban Meyer's Florida team walloped them 63-5 in 2008.

But despite most recently mounting a winning streak over Florida in 1976 and 1977, the Wildcats lately have fought fiercely in the series.

In the past six meetings, all but one game was close - Florida's 45-7 rout in 2016 - and four were decided by eight points or less.

In Saturday's bad loss to the Crimson Tide, eighth-year Kentucky coach Mark Stoops was without many key contributors, including top rusher Chris Rodriguez, who has amassed 562 yards and a team-high six touchdowns.

Kentucky started strong with 121 yards in the first quarter, but the offense generated just 27 yards in the second half and tried desperately with quarterbacks Terry Wilson, Joey Gatewood and Beau Allen.

While Stoops said there were good points to take from the big loss, junior defensive end Joshua Paschal worried about the long-term effect on younger teammates.

"This is not acceptable for us. We know that as players, as a whole football team, as a whole organization," Paschal said.

"As leaders, we are going to put it on the young guys, so the young guys know that this isn't acceptable, this is not who we are, this won't happen again."

--Field Level Media

Prediction

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Service Play Spread Game
NCAAF finished KENTUCKY @ FLORIDA
Service Play Spread Game
NCAAF finished KENTUCKY @ FLORIDA
Service Play Spread Game
NCAAF finished KENTUCKY @ FLORIDA
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NCAAF finished KENTUCKY @ FLORIDA
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NCAAF finished KENTUCKY @ FLORIDA
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NCAAF finished KENTUCKY @ FLORIDA

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GAMES

Last 10

W 40% L 60%
4 6
  • @Florida L 10 - 34
  • @Alabama L 3 - 63
  • Vanderbilt W 35 - 38
  • Georgia L 14 - 3
  • @Missouri L 10 - 20
  • @Tennessee W 34 - 7
  • Mississippi State W 2 - 24
  • Mississippi L 42 - 41
  • @Auburn L 13 - 29
  • Virginia Tech W 30 - 37
W 88% L 13%
7 1
  • Kentucky W 10 - 34
  • @Vanderbilt W 38 - 17
  • Arkansas W 35 - 63
  • @Georgia W 44 - 28
  • Missouri W 17 - 41
  • Missouri D 0 - 0
  • Louisiana State D 0 - 0
  • @Texas A&M L 38 - 41
  • South Carolina W 24 - 38
  • @Mississippi W 51 - 35

Next Games

  • South Carolina(09-29-18) W 10 - 24
  • @Tennessee(09-22-18) W 47 - 21

Last Meetings

  • Wildcats @ Gators 10-34
  • Gators @ Wildcats 29-21
  • Wildcats @ Gators 27-16
  • Gators @ Wildcats 28-27
  • Wildcats @ Gators 7-45
  • Gators @ Wildcats 14-9
  • Wildcats @ Gators 30-36
  • Gators @ Wildcats 24-7
  • Wildcats @ Gators 0-38
  • Gators @ Wildcats 48-10

Last Injuries

Florida Gators

  • T.J. Moore

    Undisclosed
    Ques Sat | questionable

    Moore has been held out of the last three games with an undefined injury, and it is up in the air if he will be active Saturday against Tennessee.

  • Nick Oelrich

    Undisclosed
    Ques Sat | questionable

    Oelrich has missed the last two games with an undefined injury, and there is no indication if it will keep him out of Saturday's lineup versus Tennessee.

  • Kamar Wilcoxson

    Undisclosed
    Ques Sat | questionable

    Wilcoxson has missed the previous two games due to an undeclared ailment, and it is unknown if he will line up against Tennessee on Saturday.

  • Jaelin Humphries

    Undisclosed
    Ques Sat | questionable

    Humphries has been absent from the lineup during the previous three games with an injury to an unlisted location, and it is undetermined if he will be in Saturday's lineup versus Tennessee.

  • Kahleil Jackson

    Undisclosed
    Ques Sat | questionable

    Jackson has missed the last two games due to an unknown ailment, and it remains to be seen if he will step on the field against Tennessee on Saturday.

  • Hayden Knighton

    Undisclosed
    Ques Sat | questionable

    Knighton has sat out the previous two games due to an undeclared reason, and his availability for Saturday's matchup with Tennessee is unknown.

  • Jeremiah Moon

    Foot
    Ques Sat | questionable

    Moon has missed the last three games due to a foot injury, and it is unknown if he will partake in Saturday's clash against Tennessee.

  • Kyle Pitts

    Concussion
    Prob Sat | probable

    Pitts is experiencing concussion-like symptoms, and is recovering from nasal surgery. It is anticipated that he will return Saturday against Kentucky.

Kentucky Wildcats

  • Justin Rigg

    Undisclosed
    Ques Sat | questionable

    Rigg has sat out the last two games due to an undefined ailment, and it is unknown if he will be available Saturday against South Carolina.

  • Christopher Rodriguez Jr.

    Undisclosed
    Ques Sat | questionable

    Rodriguez has missed the last two games with an unspecified injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against South Carolina on Saturday.

  • Torrance Davis

    Undisclosed
    Ques Sat | questionable

    Davis has missed the previous two games with an unspecified injury, and it is unknown if he will be ready for Saturday's game versus South Carolina.

  • Taj Dodson

    Undisclosed
    Ques Sat | questionable

    Dodson has missed the last two games for unknown reasons, and his availability for Saturday's matchup with South Carolina is up in the air.

  • D'Eryk Jackson

    Undisclosed
    Ques Sat | questionable

    Jackson has sat out the last two games with an undeclared ailment, and it remains unclear if he will take the field Saturday against South Carolina.

  • Jamari Brown

    Undisclosed
    Ques Sat | questionable

    Brown has been held out of the last two games due to an unannounced issue, and it has yet to be determined if he will take the field to face South Carolina on Saturday.

  • Jamin Davis

    Knee
    Ques Sat | questionable

    Davis missed the last game due to a laceration on his knee, and it is uncertain if he will play Saturday versus Florida.

  • Luke Fortner

    Undisclosed
    Ques Sat | questionable

    Fortner sat out the last game with an injury to an unannounced area, and it is unclear if he will face Florida on Saturday.