Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars Picks and Predictions May 7th 2025

Looking to win big? The Stars and Jets face off at 9:30 ET on ESPN. The Jets are hosting the game at Canada Life Centre in Winnipeg, MB. The Stars come into this Central division matchup as the -1.5 goal favorite to pick up the win. Currently, the over/under for the game is at 5.5 goals.

Dallas vs. Winnipeg Key Information

• Teams: Stars at Jets
• Where: Canada Life Centre Winnipeg
• Date: Wednesday, May 7th
• Betting Odds DAL -124 | WPG +105 O/U 5.5

The Stars Can Win If…

Dallas fell 4-2 to the Panthers, bringing their record to 50-26-6. The Stars, as underdogs on the puck line, failed to cover, and the total of 6 goals fell short of the 6.5 set before the game.

After trailing 2-0, the Stars tied it up with two goals in the second period. However, the Panthers responded with two more, including an empty-netter, to seal the win.

Dallas managed 25 shots on goal in their 4-2 loss to the Panthers. Evgenii Dadonov scored his second goal of the season, while Matt Duchene added his seventh. Duchene also picked up his eighth assist on Dadonov’s power-play goal.

Miro Heiskanen recorded his fourth assist of the season, and Thomas Harley notched his fifth. The Stars were held scoreless in the first period, but found the net twice in the second before being shut out in the third.

Dallas’ defense gave up the first two goals of the game, including one at 8:47 in the 2nd period, and after tying it at 2-2, they allowed two more, one at 2:32 in the 3rd and another at 19:00. Casey DeSmith made 21 saves with an 87.5% save percentage, and the Stars’ defense recorded 5 takeaways and 26 hits.

• The Stars have posted a 2-1 record in their previous three games. This also includes going 2-1 puck line and an over-under mark of 3-0.
• Across Dallas’s last ten regular season games, their record sits at 4-6. This includes going 4-6 vs. the puck line along with an over-under mark of 6-4.

The Jets Can Win If…

With a 7-4 win over the Lightning, the Jets improved to 56-22-4. Winnipeg covered the puck line as -1.5 goal favorites, and the total of 11 goals easily surpassed the pre-game line of 6.5 goals.

After falling behind 2-0 in the first period, the Jets rallied, with seven different players contributing to their scoring. They took the lead for good with Alex Iafallo’s goal at 15:57 in the third period.

Winnipeg’s offense fired 34 shots on goal and scored 7 times in their win over Tampa Bay. Each of the Jets’ 7 goals came from different players, with Vladislav Namestnikov scoring his third of the season, and Cole Perfetti adding his fourth on an empty net with 37 seconds left. Nikolaj Ehlers also netted his 9th goal, following a 2nd-period assist on Logan Stanley’s first goal of the season.

After trailing 2-0 in the first period, the Jets got on the board with Namestnikov’s goal. They added two more in the second period before scoring four times in the third, including Alex Iafallo’s first goal of the season on a power play. Winnipeg finished with two empty-net goals to seal the victory.

Winnipeg’s defense got off to a rough start, allowing the first two goals of the game. They also gave up a tying goal at 3-3 and another at 4-4. Connor Hellebuyck made 26 saves with an 86.7% save percentage, while the Jets’ defense recorded 5 takeaways and 31 hits.

• Winnipeg will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 2-1 over their past three games. Their record vs the puck line in these matchups is less impressive at 1-2, while posting an over-under record of 3-0.
• Winnipeg has put together a record of 6-4 in their last ten games (regular season). This includes going 2-8 vs. the puck line along with an over-under mark of 7-3.

The Lean

When it comes to a moneyline wager, I’m going with the Jets to defeat the Stars while playing at home. Given the current moneyline odds at +105, I’m placing a wager on the Jets to win outright.

If you’re looking to get a bet down on this matchup, we foresee the Jets winning the underdog. However, if you’re not as confident in the Jets straight-up, we’d still recommend placing a bet on them to cover the puck line.

If you’re looking at the over/under line set at 5.5 goals, our prediction is that this game will exceed that mark, and we strongly advise placing a bet on the over.

Redemption Tour Continues

The Winnipeg Jets return home to host the Dallas Stars in Game 1 of their second-round series after stunning the St. Louis Blues with a 4–3 double-OT win in Game 7. That comeback, featuring two goals in the final two minutes and a three-period stunner, has the Jets riding a confidence wave they hope carries into this Western Conference showdown.

Injury Impact and Lineup Updates

Winnipeg’s top two players, center Mark Scheifele and defenseman Josh Morrissey, both practiced in non-contact jerseys after exiting Game 7 with undisclosed injuries. Scheifele, fresh off an 87-point regular season, and Morrissey, the club’s leading blueliner, remain game-time decisions. On the Stars’ side, goal scorer Jason Robertson skated fully and could rejoin the top line, while Miro Heiskanen remains sidelined with a knee issue. How these key returns—or absences—shape each depth chart will dictate early momentum.

Goaltender Duel

Connor Hellebuyck, fresh off 54 saves over the final two games against St. Louis, takes the crease for Winnipeg. He’s 14–10–5 lifetime versus Dallas with a stingy 2.45 goals-against average. Opposing him, Jake Oettinger boasts a 6–4–1 career mark against the Jets and a .905 save percentage. Their ability to weather early pressure will set the tempo for this opening tilt.

Compare NHL Betting Odds Now! – Get the best lines before placing your bet.

Tactical Matchups

Winnipeg’s heavy forecheck and net-front presence by Nikolaj Ehlers and Pierre-Luc Dubois will test a Stars defense reshuffled without Heiskanen. Dallas counters with transition speed from Wyatt Johnston and power-play acumen from Jamie Benn. Special teams execution—particularly in the first five minutes of each period—could decide which club seizes control.

Betting Angle

With both goalies capable of stealing the show and uncertain lineups on both benches, consider exploring our NHL Expert Picks for series-long value plays, including over/unders on total goals and key power-play prop bets.

Score Prediction

Expect a tight, low-scoring opener with momentum swings on each end until depth and injury-impacted matchups tip the balance.