Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars Picks and Predictions May 9th 2025

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Betting on today’s Stars and Jets game? Catch the action at Canada Life Centre in Winnipeg, MB, as the Jets hosts this showdown at 9:30 ET on TNT. This Central division matchup has an over/under of 5.5 goals, and the Jets are favored by -1.5 at home vs. the Stars.

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Dallas vs. Winnipeg Key Information

  • Teams: Stars at Jets
  • Where: Canada Life Centre Winnipeg
  • Date: Friday, May 9th
  • Betting Odds WPG -124 | DAL +103 O/U 5.5

The Stars Can Win If…

Dallas dropped their latest game, falling 4-2 on the road against the Panthers. The Stars, as underdogs on the puck line, now hold a 50-26-6 record. The total for the game was set at 6.5 goals, but the teams combined for just 6.

After trailing 2-0, Dallas tied it up with two goals in the second period. However, the Panthers pulled ahead in the third, sealing the win with an empty-net goal. Evgenii Dadonov and Matt Duchene each scored for the Stars in the loss.

Dallas took 25 shots on goal but only managed to score twice in their 4-2 loss to Florida. Evgenii Dadonov netted his second goal of the season on a power play, while Matt Duchene added his seventh goal. Duchene also picked up his eighth assist of the year.

 Dallas Stars players celebrate near the bench during NHL game

The Stars were held scoreless in the first period before scoring both of their goals in the second. They finished with 32 giveaways in the game.

Dallas’ defense gave up the first two goals of the game, then allowed two more in the 3rd period, including an empty-netter. Goalie Casey DeSmith made 21 saves with a save percentage of 87.5%. The Stars’ defense recorded 5 takeaways and 26 hits.

  • Dallas has put together a record of 2-1 over their past three games. The team has also been excellent vs the spread, going 2-1. Their over-under record in these games was 2-1.
  • The Stars have gone 5-5 over their last ten regular season games. Their record against the puck line in this stretch is 5-5 to go along with an over-under mark of 5-5.
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The Jets Can Win If…

With a 7-4 win over the Lightning, the Jets improved to 56-22-4. Winnipeg covered the puck line as -1.5 goal favorites, and the total of 11 goals easily surpassed the pre-game line of 6.5.

After falling behind 2-0 in the first period, the Jets rallied with seven different players finding the net. Winnipeg tied the game at 3-3 before taking the lead for good in the third period. Two of their goals came with an empty net.

Winnipeg’s offense fired 34 shots on goal, scoring 7 times in their 7-4 win over Tampa Bay. The Jets had 7 giveaways and 10 assists, with two of their goals coming on empty nets. Dylan Samberg netted his 3rd goal of the season, while Alex Iafallo added his 1st, scoring on a power play.

 Winnipeg Jets players help teammate off the ice during NHL game

Vladislav Namestnikov opened the scoring for the Jets in the first period, marking his 3rd goal of the season. Logan Stanley followed with his 1st goal, and Nikolaj Ehlers added his 9th, scoring on an empty net.

Defensively, the Jets will look to improve after allowing the first two goals of the game and a total of four goals to Tampa Bay. Connor Hellebuyck made 26 saves with a save percentage of 86.7%. The Jets’ defense recorded 5 takeaways and 31 hits.

  • The Jets have gone 1-2 over their last three regular season games. Against the spread, Winnipeg went 0-3 in these games and finished with an over-under mark of 2-1.
  • Across Winnipeg’s last ten regular season games, their record sits at 5-5. Across these games, their puck line record was just 2-8, while posting an over-under record of 6-4.

The Lean

For a moneyline pick, I’m taking the Jets to pick up on a win over the Stars at home. With the moneyline sitting at -124, I’ll be locking in a bet on the Jets straight-up.

When it comes to a puck line pick, our choice is the Jets to secure the win and cover. Expect the Jets to dominate this one with a multi-goal win over the Stars.

If you’re looking at the over/under line set at 5.5 goals, our prediction is that this game will exceed that mark, and we strongly advise placing a bet on the over.

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Jets Aim to Cool Off Red-Hot Rantanen, Regain Momentum in Game 2

The Winnipeg Jets are looking to reset the tone of their second-round playoff series after dropping Game 1 to the Dallas Stars—and more specifically, to Mikko Rantanen. The Dallas winger is in the midst of a historic scoring streak, and unless the Jets can contain him Friday night in Game 2, the series could quickly slip out of their control.

Rantanen on a Scoring Rampage

Mikko Rantanen has taken his game to a level rarely seen in NHL playoff history. After scoring a hat trick in Game 7 against Colorado, he followed it up with another three-goal outing in Game 1 against Winnipeg, becoming the first NHL player in nearly 40 years to post back-to-back playoff hat tricks. He also became the first player ever to record multiple three-goal periods in a single postseason.

“Linemates, teammates are obviously helping me a lot on the ice… Such a deep lineup we have, so it doesn’t really matter who you play with.”
Mikko Rantanen, Stars Forward

Rantanen has now factored in all 12 of Dallas’ most recent goals, setting a new NHL playoff record for consecutive points on team goals. Since exploding offensively midway through the first round, he’s racked up eight goals and six assists in just four games.

“He’s rolling and he’s feeling it… Considering the opponent and the time of year and how he’s dominating games, really impressive.”
Pete DeBoer, Stars Head Coach

With Rantanen this hot, those evaluating NHL picks and predictions will want to factor his impact into any Game 2 analysis.

Jets Need Urgency—and Hellebuyck—to Show Up

Winnipeg, despite finishing 10 points ahead of Dallas in the regular season and winning the season series 3-1, looked flat in their 3-2 loss Wednesday. Coach Scott Arniel didn’t sugarcoat it, saying the team lacked the necessary edge for playoff hockey.

“That wasn’t a game where they rolled over top of us… but that’s not how we played (in Game 1).”
Scott Arniel, Jets Head Coach

Goalie Connor Hellebuyck allowed three goals for the second straight game. While it’s a better showing than his rocky first-round stretch against St. Louis, the Jets need their Vezina-level netminder to outduel a team firing on all cylinders.

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Mark Scheifele returned to the lineup after missing two games and found the back of the net, but the Jets’ top players will need more help if they’re going to slow Dallas down. Arniel emphasized that the energy level simply wasn’t there.

“This is the playoffs. There’s a way we have to play as a group.”
Scott Arniel

With Game 2 looming and the Jets desperate to avoid a 0-2 hole at home, expect a more physical, desperate effort.

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